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Butler1000

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southpaw said:
Its going to take longer than a decade. In any business, its unwise to have a single customer who comprises the majority of your revenues. It gives them leverage. Canada should continue export diversification long after Trump is gone, to prepare for the next Trump.
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It may surprise you how quickly things are going to move. Carney is back on the road to India, Japan and somewhere else now. We have lots of things people need. And are considered to be trustworthy.

Our big issue is shipping infrastructure initially. Then pipelines. As well opening up the new mining opportunities in Saskatchewan for Alumini. The Ring of Fire. And the one in Newfoundland.

We can get there.
 
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jalimon

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WyattEarp said:
So you're saying that Canadians buying illegal drugs isn't a problem.
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Canada is in America ;)

Just kidding, it's true I should have specified North Americans, as we are as much part of the problem as the united states.
 
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jalimon

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WyattEarp said:
I think an objective exercise would be to draw two columns regarding U.S.-Canadian trade.
In the left, put all the things that Canada has consistently has said are off-limits.
In the right, you can put whatever you want that you think is some special deal for the U.S.
While you are talking up defense spending, you can put not coming close to meeting NATO commitments on the left.

I don't always like the Trump Administration's heavy-handedness but I think many ignoring the entire picture.
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The problem is that Trump sees tariffs purely as a source of revenue to equalize trade deficits.

First, he NEVER acknowledges the fact that amercans pays the tariffs, so it's a tax, not a source of revenue.

Second, a country puts tariffs to protect a weak economy (like most countries) or to protect against product dumping or to protect a sector of its economy that is controlled by the government (like Canada with its dairy products). Any other reason to tariffs is against capitalism.

The US is the richest country on earth. The problem is that the money is not well distributed among the population. And that creates chaos, and the illusion of being poor.
 
WyattEarp

WyattEarp

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southpaw said:
Canada should continue export diversification long after Trump is gone, to prepare for the next Trump.
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Export diversification is a sound strategy period.
I think some here refuse to have an honest account of the Trudeau policies.
 
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WyattEarp

WyattEarp

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jalimon said:
Canada is in America ;)

Just kidding, it's true I should have specified North Americans, as we are as much part of the problem as the united states.
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It doesn't appear to be of the same magnitude but a problem nonetheless.
 
WyattEarp

WyattEarp

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jalimon said:
The problem is that Trump sees tariffs purely as a source of revenue to equalize trade deficits.

First, he NEVER acknowledges the fact that amercans pays the tariffs, so it's a tax, not a source of revenue.

Second, a country puts tariffs to protect a weak economy (like most countries) or to protect against product dumping or to protect a sector of its economy that is controlled by the government (like Canada with its dairy products). Any other reason to tariffs is against capitalism.

The US is the richest country on earth. The problem is that the money is not well distributed among the population. And that creates chaos, and the illusion of being poor.
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I don't think that last statement nails the situation.
If the U.S. had more wealth distribution, it would likely encourage more spending in which some would flow into imports. That's kind of a basic principle in international economics.

I have no problem with tariffs applied to Chinese imports and possibly German imports that have run their economies on a systemic export model. This tremendously taps global demand which creates global imbalances. That is just a fact. The Chinese are so dependent on exports that they are now significantly sapping European demand. You can trust me on this. Regardless of who is President, the issue of global trade deficits is not going away.

I think the Canadians have had a very good deal with the U.S. I don't think it was problem enough for the Trump Administration to challenge so hard. It's not fair to look at the U.S.-Canada trade relations in a bubble. There seems to be this premise by some that there was a deal. While that's true, NATO is an agreement as well. Trump makes a lot of noise so it's always hard to follow along.
 
WyattEarp

WyattEarp

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Butler1000 said:
It may surprise you how quickly things are going to move. Carney is back on the road to India, Japan and somewhere else now. We have lots of things people need. And are considered to be trustworthy.

Our big issue is shipping infrastructure initially. Then pipelines. As well opening up the new mining opportunities in Saskatchewan for Alumini. The Ring of Fire. And the one in Newfoundland.
Click to expand...
Don't get too excited about politicians flying around the globe signing "trade deals". Many of them are just political gestures.

Trudeau was in India in 2018 to apparently sign a trade deal.
Even some of Trump's trade deals don't ever materialize to much over the years.
 
WyattEarp

WyattEarp

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Carpa said:
I agree Cancun ha not much but large hotels and discos.
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Don't get me wrong.
There are other parts of Mexico that I prefer over Cancun.
 
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Carpa

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Aug 27, 2025
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WyattEarp said:
Don't get me wrong.
There are other parts of Mexico that I prefer over Cancun.
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Forgot Cozumel, if you're a diver this Island is spectacular. Excellent restaurants the ladies dress up like dolls in the evening when people go out for walks. But the diving is fantastic.
 
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jalimon

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Carpa said:
Forgot Cozumel, if you're a diver this Island is spectacular. Excellent restaurants the ladies dress up like dolls in the evening when people go out for walks. But the diving is fantastic.
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I have been to Riviera Maya about 25 times, going again soon for 2 weeks. I landed in Cancun all those times, but I have never set foot in Cancun city ;)

I really like Puerto Morelos. Close to airport, great beaches, good vibes. Playa Del Carmen makes me feel younger ;) Tulum is for new hippie rich so I now avoid, but it has the best beaches.

If you want to avoid the sargassum seaweeds book Isla Mujeres (the island in front of Cancun) or go north to Holbox.
 
WyattEarp

WyattEarp

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Carpa said:
Forgot Cozumel, if you're a diver this Island is spectacular. Excellent restaurants the ladies dress up like dolls in the evening when people go out for walks. But the diving is fantastic.
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I prefer Mexican destinations with more of a cultural angle.
I myself avoid resort packages.
Of course now, I will put Mexico on the back burner but it wasn't a 2026 destination anyway.
 
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WyattEarp

WyattEarp

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Butler1000 said:
I think for awhile yes. They are one of the largest employers and number close to 200,000. To put that into perspective the Afghan insurgents numbered about 40,000 and the US military failed to defeat them.
They are well armed, well funded, have loyalty, and are embedded in corrupt officials. They also have international backing from the Chinese and the Russians(less now).

In the USA they have failed to rout the gangs despite the war on drugs. And they are not nearly as organized.

Sending in the military means no civil liberties, no trials, just a war. Thats how they work. And all if the destruction and civilian casualties that will go with it.
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Mexicans have lived side-by-side with the cartels for decades. That's likely not going to change.

What can change is the amount of tolerance for the cartels. For some reason, Leftist governments want to have better relations with the cartels. It then gets out of hand. The last President of Mexico Obrador's policy was "hugs, not bullets". Then the murder rate increased and the cartels killed a popular Mayor.

Let's be real. If the cartels quietly distributed drugs to the U.S. and Canada and avoided violent turf wars, most Mexican people and politicians would probably be chill with that. The problem is that inevitably the cartels want to expand their influence in the country. Then there are the turf wars between cartels that spread across regions.
 
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Phil C. McNasty

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Rumor is Ryan Wedding ratted out his location
 
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bggolfingmaniac

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jalimon said:
I have been to Riviera Maya about 25 times, going again soon for 2 weeks. I landed in Cancun all those times, but I have never set foot in Cancun city ;)

I really like Puerto Morelos. Close to airport, great beaches, good vibes. Playa Del Carmen makes me feel younger ;) Tulum is for new hippie rich so I now avoid, but it has the best beaches.

If you want to avoid the sargassum seaweeds book Isla Mujeres (the island in front of Cancun) or go north to Holbox.
Click to expand...
I stayed at Planet Hollywood a couple times in Isla Mujeres - beach was great with a bit of seaweed but it wasn't too bad. No Mexico for me until I feel safer.
 
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jalimon

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Jan 10, 2016
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WyattEarp said:
Mexicans have lived side-by-side with the cartels for decades. That's likely not going to change.

What can change is the amount of tolerance for the cartels. For some reason, Leftist governments want to have better relations with the cartels. It then gets out of hand. The last President of Mexico Obrador's policy was "hugs, not bullets". Then the murder rate increased and the cartels killed a popular Mayor.

Let's be real. If the cartels quietly distributed drugs to the U.S. and Canada and avoided violent turf wars, most Mexican people and politicians would probably be chill with that. The problem is that inevitably the cartels want to expand their influence in the country. Then there are the turf wars between cartels that spread across regions.
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The only way to avoid a bloodshed like Columbia had is to cut the demand.

A hard government stance will have the cartel use the billions and thousands of people they pay to fight to hell. These guys won`t go down without a horrible battle.

Having a soft stance avoids most of the violence. But does not solve the problem at all.

Only cutting drug demand could solve the problem.
 
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jalimon

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bggolfingmaniac said:
I stayed at Planet Hollywood a couple times in Isla Mujeres - beach was great with a bit of seaweed but it wasn't too bad. No Mexico for me until I feel safer.
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I do not know where Planet Hollywood is. On Isla Mujeres, I always rented a condo. To completely avoid seaweed, you need to be on the northwestern side of the island, specifically Playa Norte (North Beach).
 
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