When do you guys think a Canadian election will be called?

Butler1000

Well-known member
Oct 31, 2011
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Depends on if he resigns. If he does I expect the NDP will use this as an excuse to delay a non confidence vote so they can have a leadership convention.

If he doesn't resign then probably end of Feb call for mid April election. But you never know.
 

bazokajoe

Well-known member
Nov 6, 2010
10,193
8,514
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He is going to prorogue parliament to keep his job as long as possible. Have a leadership race but still stay on as a MP.
So it depends on how long he prorogues parliament for.
 

Sugarsweet905

Well-known member
May 17, 2022
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He is going to prorogue parliament to keep his job as long as possible. Have a leadership race but still stay on as a MP.
So it depends on how long he prorogues parliament for.
Longest would be until March 31st. The government will run out of funds by then, if not sooner.
 
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GameBoy27

Well-known member
Nov 23, 2004
12,901
2,904
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I'm going with, not soon enough. Trudeau is done, finished, toast. Can't wait until we officially say goodbye to the worst Prime Minister this country has ever seen. Good riddance!
 

DesRicardo

aka Dick Dastardly
Dec 2, 2022
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Neither the NDP or Liberals want an election anytime soon. I also think the 2025 budget has no shot of passing.

So probably April or May. June the latest.
 
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nottyboi

Well-known member
May 14, 2008
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Barring an emergency return, which isn't likely, the House sits next on January 27th.

Even if Trudeau doesn't resign, it's likely going to be at most a couple of days for a non-confidence motion to be voted on but unlikely to extend beyond the end of the week. It seems all but certain said motion will pass, meaning the last week in January will be the latest Trudeau can go before either resigning or asking the Governor General to dissolve Parliament.

There's really no grounds for the Governor General to refuse in this case as no other leader seems likely to be able to gain the confidence of the House, so whether Trudeau resigns or Parlement is dissolved, a writ of election will likely be issued no later than January 31st. There's a minimum 36 day and maximum 50 day campaigning period, unless the Liberals can establish extreme circumstances needing more time.

Since I doubt "our incompetence has lead to a lack of confidence so we need more time to elect a new leader" will be good enough, we're probably looking at an election no later than March 22nd, and not likely more than a week than that.

By law, the results have to be announced within 7 days, and by convention the new government sits within 30-40 days.

So most likely we're looking at an election in mid- to late-March, almost certainly Poilievre is going to be announced as the winner by the end of March, and his new Government to sit no sooner than the last week of April or first week or two of May. It's pretty much a certainty it will be a majority if not a supermajority government, with the Liberals winning very few seats if any.
He will probably prorogue parliament citing the urgency to prepare for trade negotiations with the USA. After which Parliamenty will close for summer break and perhaps the libs will have a leadership convention to prepare for the election
 

Sugarsweet905

Well-known member
May 17, 2022
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Why will they run out of funds? the Treasury board still operates, revenues are still coming in....
"Trudeau can do much via executive fiat, but he needs Parliament to approve the monies needed to keep the federal government running."

Conveniently for him, on Dec. 10 the House of Commons passed a bill releasing $21.6 billion to fund the federal civil service for the rest of “the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025.”

 
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K Douglas

Half Man Half Amazing
Jan 5, 2005
27,658
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Room 112
I forsee an April election which sucks because I'm super busy at work around that time.
 

shane4

Active member
Sep 23, 2021
125
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I for one hope the election is ASAP because I'm bored. I need something exciting to watch.
 

wigglee

Well-known member
Oct 13, 2010
10,467
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It would be unfair and undemocratic to force an election without giving the Libs a couple months to pick a new leader. As far as the urgency to deal with Trump in 3 weeks, I say fuck Trump and go ahead regardless. They should select a temporary PM who is not a leadership candidate to carry on until the new leader is chosen by a convention vote. I'm sure PP would like the vote next week and all you Cons can't wait to have our education, pension and medicare plans decimated!
 

Butler1000

Well-known member
Oct 31, 2011
30,836
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It would be unfair and undemocratic to force an election without giving the Libs a couple months to pick a new leader. As far as the urgency to deal with Trump in 3 weeks, I say fuck Trump and go ahead regardless. They should select a temporary PM who is not a leadership candidate to carry on until the new leader is chosen by a convention vote. I'm sure PP would like the vote next week and all you Cons can't wait to have our education, pension and medicare plans decimated!
No it isn't. Trudeau had the choice to step down at any time. In this case it's his duty to take his lumps if an election is called. If he resigns his cowardice is no excuse, just a lesson for the Liberal party to pick better next time.
 

DesRicardo

aka Dick Dastardly
Dec 2, 2022
2,581
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It would be unfair and undemocratic to force an election without giving the Libs a couple months to pick a new leader. As far as the urgency to deal with Trump in 3 weeks, I say fuck Trump and go ahead regardless. They should select a temporary PM who is not a leadership candidate to carry on until the new leader is chosen by a convention vote. I'm sure PP would like the vote next week and all you Cons can't wait to have our education, pension and medicare plans decimated!
F-ing BS. :ROFLMAO:

Trudeau has been given almost a year to resign. He's your leader, no excuses. There will be plenty of time to pick a new leader after the election.

And yes I can't wait for the cuts to come. We can't continue spending like this.
 

Insidious Von

My head is my home
Sep 12, 2007
40,194
7,531
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Not before July.

We've yet to find out how dysfunctional President Musk regime actually is. If they want to impose tariffs on goods they desperately need, there's the CETA agreement with the EU. Whomever the liberal leader is he/she's going to want American insanity to sink in.
 
Ashley Madison
Toronto Escorts