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Bitcoin to skyrocket in 2024

stinkynuts

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A great video explaining what happened.

Most likely liquidation of over leveraged market rather than hawkish Fed.

The market will rebound higher in a couple of weeks.
 
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LiveInTorontoPartyInMontreal

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A lot of T/A's and chartists are saying that BTC and ETH's bull cycle had ended just recently and a new bear is going to start prematurely ( like my cock ), any believers or do you still feel there's 1 more year to go in this bull ?
 

stinkynuts

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A lot of T/A's and chartists are saying that BTC and ETH's bull cycle had ended just recently and a new bear is going to start prematurely ( like my cock ), any believers or do you still feel there's 1 more year to go in this bull ?
The bottom line is that anything is possible.

In the end though, the most important factor is global liquidity. How much money and credit is available. If there is a lot, people will put it into risky assets to try to make as much as possible.

Jerome Powell yesterday warned that there may be problems ahead with the labor market.

We all know what happens when the fed starts to tighten.

Having said that, it seems more likely that we haven’t peaked yet. I will be out entirely out of Bitcoin before the next cpi reading and Trump gets inaugurated. After that, the risk/reward just isn’t there. I will play out my alts though, they should peak in Feb->April.
 

stinkynuts

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The last cycle was fueled by an insane amount of global money being pumped in due to covid. That fueled the second peak in the fall.

However, without all that stimulus, there likely would never have been the second peak, and the bull run would have ended in the spring.

It’s quite likely that this bull run could end in the spring, as there will be nowhere near as much global stimulus this time around.
 
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stinkynuts

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Tomorrow PCE will be reported.

PCE will be fine and markets will rally, making up some of the losses.

Bitcoin will also rally, crossing 100k
 

stinkynuts

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I think Bitcoin will follow 1 of 2 scenarios from here:

Scenario 1)
Bitcoin will recover to around 105,000, and people will start to fomo and leverage in, falling for the trap. That's when whales dump again, plunging Bitcoin into the high 80's. From there, they buy the discounted bitcoin, and in early January the next leg up begins, bringing Bitcoin up over 110k.

Scenario 2)
Bitcoin historically has a Santa Claus rally one week before and after New Year's. After the rally, it's possible that a correction will happen before moving up.
 
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sprite09

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Aug 10, 2020
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I think Bitcoin will follow 1 of 2 scenarios from here:

Scenario 1)
Bitcoin will recover to around 105,000, and people will start to fomo and leverage in, falling for the trap. That's when whales dump again, plunging Bitcoin into the high 80's. From there, they buy the discounted bitcoin, and in early January the next leg up begins, bringing Bitcoin up over 110k.

Scenario 2)
Bitcoin historically has a Santa Claus rally one week before and after New Year's. After the rally, it's possible that a correction will happen before moving up.

crypto will rally then correct before or after inauguration
 
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LiveInTorontoPartyInMontreal

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Feb 23, 2008
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Retracements during a bully cycle are the norm, but I always find it hard to stomach since my positions are naked and not hedged one cent. The pullbacks could be 20%, 30% and up to 40% max, the following are the approximate BTC levels at : 20%: $ 81,640 , 30%: $75,800 & 40%: $ 64,980. Are we still in the bull cycle or a new bear ?
 
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stinkynuts

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crypto will rally then correct before or after inauguration
Absolutely. The inauguration will be a pivotal point. Bitcoin will rally up to the inauguration and maybe a few days after. It will then dump hard, maybe 30 percent.

I saw this current dump coming, it has happened in the previous two cycles. But I largely held through it since it was going to relatively minor.

I will be out almost entirely out of bitcoin just before the inauguration. But play out my alts.

If bitcoin follows the 2017 cycle, the dump will happen right before the inauguration, if it follows the 2021 cycle, it will happen one week after the inauguration.
 
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stinkynuts

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Jan 4, 2005
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Retracements during a bully cycle are the norm, but I always find it hard to stomach since my positions are naked and not hedged one cent. The pullbacks could be 20%, 30% and up to 40% max, the following are the approximate BTC levels at : 20%: $ 81,640 , 30%: $75,800 & 40%: $ 64,980. Are we still in the bull cycle or a new bear ?
We are still in the bull cycle, but don’t believe the hype about how strong this market is and how it’s going to be a super cycle.

The theoretical peak, if it follows mathematically from the previous cycles is 120,000, due to diminishing returns.

We are in the middle of the parabolic phase and have only gone from 65,000 to 93,000. This, despite the most bullish economic, political and regulatory backdrop ever. With hundreds of billions from ETFs and Michael Saylor buying like crazy.

There is absolutely no way btc is hitting 500k like some are saying. Not even 200k.

Maybe 120-160k at the most. Meanwhile there could be a black swan event that could cause btc to crash. Microstrategy is doing something extremely risky and a crash in btc could cause a cascading effect, where Microstrategy is ultimately forced to sell its bitcoin and bitcoin just tanks. People are really complacent and so sure that this will be the biggest bull run ever right now, but it’s when people are most complacent and think nothing can go wrong that things do.

After alt season is done this spring, I’m out of crypto for good. Holding until the end of the year, hoping bitcoin will hit 200k isn’t worth the risk. There are far safer alternatives.
 
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stinkynuts

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If you want to know where btc is headed, polymarket has been the most accurate indicator, not stupid analysts




 
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