Trump gets a $355 million kick to the crotch, will he pay up?

[mitchell76]

 

[mitchell76]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1765303190059110694

 

[Frankfooter]

I'll reply more fully later Frank, but in the meantime, I either I didn't communicate my thoughts and opinions accurately or you are misinterpreting what I said. Either way, respectfully, I don't feel the way you seem to think I do. All is ok though!

later....

That's good to hear, schlong.

 

[Victor Lazlo]

View attachment 302788

What he seems to be saying is that the only thing he cases about is himself.

 

[mitchell76]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1766157647546347796

 

[mitchell76]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1766154570940428480

 

[mitchell76]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1766157158968668362

 

[mitchell76]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1766181692333838577

 

[mitchell76]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1766180284804763921

 

[mitchell76]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1766149435312984378

 

[Frankfooter]

More J6 trials green lit

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1766122028820549787

 

[Valcazar]

Trump was leading in all the polls in 2020 through election night. The polls were 100% inaccurate.
It was later reported that the 2020 presidential polls was the least accurate in 40 years.

That doesn't seem right.
I do remember it was the least accurate in 40 years, but I thought that the polls overstated Biden's support by a few percentage points, not Trump's.

 

[johnd5050]

That doesn't seem right.
I do remember it was the least accurate in 40 years, but I thought that the polls overstated Biden's support by a few percentage points, not Trump's.

Do your research and post your finding. Like to compare notes. There might be more info available than what I read

 

[Valcazar]

Do your research and post your finding. Like to compare notes. There might be more info available than what I read

Article on the research

Pre-election polls in 2020 had the largest errors in 40 years

Public opinion polls ahead of the 2020 election were the most inaccurate in a generation, according to Josh Clinton, Abby and Jon Winkelried Chair and professor of political science, who recently served as chair of a special task force convened by the American Association for Public Opinion...

news.vanderbilt.edu

Link to the report: https://aapor.org/wp-content/upload...e-on-2020-Pre-Election-Polling_Report-FNL.pdf
Executive summary here: https://aapor.org/wp-content/upload...20-Pre-Election-Polling_Executive-Summary.pdf

• The polling error was much more likely to favor Biden over Trump. Among polls conducted in the last two weeks before the election, the average signed error on the vote margin was too favorable for Biden by 3.9 percentage points in the national polls and by 4.3 percentage points in statewide presidential polls.
  
  
• The polling error for the presidential election was stable throughout the campaign. The average error matched closely for polls conducted in the last two weeks, in the final week, and even in the final three days. The challenges polls faced in 2020 did not diminish as Election Day approached.

And here is 538's polling aggregate through 2020 from end of February through Election Day.
Biden consistently ahead the whole time.

 

[mitchell76]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1766568208700752260

 

[mitchell76]

 

[mitchell76]

 

[mitchell76]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1766554309741744424

 

[mitchell76]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1766589196448178452

 

[johnd5050]

Article on the research

Pre-election polls in 2020 had the largest errors in 40 years

Public opinion polls ahead of the 2020 election were the most inaccurate in a generation, according to Josh Clinton, Abby and Jon Winkelried Chair and professor of political science, who recently served as chair of a special task force convened by the American Association for Public Opinion...

news.vanderbilt.edu

Link to the report: https://aapor.org/wp-content/upload...e-on-2020-Pre-Election-Polling_Report-FNL.pdf
Executive summary here: https://aapor.org/wp-content/upload...20-Pre-Election-Polling_Executive-Summary.pdf




And here is 538's polling aggregate through 2020 from end of February through Election Day.
Biden consistently ahead the whole time.


View attachment 303770

Thanks for the info and your time in finding this info. Appreciate it.