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Battle of the global warming alarmists - Basketcase vs. Frankfooter

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Moviefan-2

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Oct 17, 2011
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The final decision will not rest with you.
Since you're ineligible to decide on the paper's merits (since it's a matter of public record that you won't understand it) and you won't let me do it, I guess you might as well save your money.
 

Frankfooter

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Apr 10, 2015
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Frankie brought up the "Cooling" trend when he used skeptical science's chart.
Solar output has measured between 1368 W/m2 - 1366 W/m2 in 37 years, on a downward trend.
In the grand scheme of things, does 2 w/m2 seem like it would make a difference, considering we've only had 37 years of data.

I'm going to try a break it down simply...

Sun heats planet
Atmosphere absorbs heat.
Ocean absorbs 1000x more heat.

The Oceans transfer heat to the atmosphere over long periods.
The Atmosphere responds to the heat immediately, Man-Made C02 "amplifies" the heat.

The question is, will solar output continue to decrease to the point it disrupts our stored heat balance with our oceans.
Remember, our atmosphere feels the effects of solar energy immediately and Man Made CO2 is adding .2 w/m2 of additional heat.
The answer?

no.

The changes in our star are very, very slow compared to our timescale. Its only kooks like Corbyn who predict ice ages right now, nobody is predicting changes in sunspots or solar output to have nearly the effect on our climate as CO2 at present.
http://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2015-whats-warming-the-world/

And yes, I keep posting that chart as it is a good representation of the forcings on our climate.


As for the argument that .2 of a watt isn't much, bear in mind that's the measured difference from only 22ppm in CO2 and even that has to be amplified by the land mass of the planet to understand how much more energy that puts into the climate.
 

Frankfooter

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Bull. Now, you're just conjuring up fairy tales from your own little world of make-believe.
Are you calling the authors of that study liars?
Do you have any evidence to show that their claim they measured the greenhouse effect of CO2 directly is wrong?


Meanwhile, Venezuela is feeling the effects of climate change through loss of hyrdo power.
70% of their electricity comes from one hydro site and they were suffering from a couple of years of drought before El Nino hit.
Now they are close to having to shut down about 25% of their countries electricity, as water levels at the dam that powers most of the country are at record lows.

https://www.e-wisdom.com/news/worsening-electricity-shortage-in-venezuela-is-raising-new-questions/
 
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canada-man

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If one thing more than any other is used to justify proposals that the world must spend tens of trillions of dollars on combating global warming, it is the belief that we face a disastrous rise in sea levels. The Antarctic and Greenland ice caps will melt, we are told, warming oceans will expand, and the result will be catastrophe.
Although the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) only predicts a sea level rise of 59cm (17 inches) by 2100, Al Gore in his Oscar-winning film An Inconvenient Truth went much further, talking of 20 feet, and showing computer graphics of cities such as Shanghai and San Francisco half under water. We all know the graphic showing central London in similar plight. As for tiny island nations such as the Maldives and Tuvalu, as Prince Charles likes to tell us and the Archbishop of Canterbury was again parroting last week, they are due to vanish.
But if there is one scientist who knows more about sea levels than anyone else in the world it is the Swedish geologist and physicist Nils-Axel Mörner, formerly chairman of the INQUA International Commission on Sea Level Change. And the uncompromising verdict of Dr Mörner, who for 35 years has been using every known scientific method to study sea levels all over the globe, is that all this talk about the sea rising is nothing but a colossal scare story.
Despite fluctuations down as well as up, "the sea is not rising," he says. "It hasn't risen in 50 years." If there is any rise this century it will "not be more than 10cm (four inches), with an uncertainty of plus or minus 10cm". And quite apart from examining the hard evidence, he says, the elementary laws of physics (latent heat needed to melt ice) tell us that the apocalypse conjured up by
Al Gore and Co could not possibly come about.
The reason why Dr Mörner, formerly a Stockholm professor, is so certain that these claims about sea level rise are 100 per cent wrong is that they are all based on computer model predictions, whereas his findings are based on "going into the field to observe what is actually happening in the real world".


http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/...sea-levels-is-the-greatest-lie-ever-told.html
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
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If one thing more than any other is used to justify proposals that the world must spend tens of trillions of dollars on combating global warming, it is the belief that we face a disastrous rise in sea levels. The Antarctic and Greenland ice caps will melt, we are told, warming oceans will expand, and the result will be catastrophe.
Although the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) only predicts a sea level rise of 59cm (17 inches) by 2100, Al Gore in his Oscar-winning film An Inconvenient Truth went much further, talking of 20 feet, and showing computer graphics of cities such as Shanghai and San Francisco half under water. We all know the graphic showing central London in similar plight. As for tiny island nations such as the Maldives and Tuvalu, as Prince Charles likes to tell us and the Archbishop of Canterbury was again parroting last week, they are due to vanish.
But if there is one scientist who knows more about sea levels than anyone else in the world it is the Swedish geologist and physicist Nils-Axel Mörner,
Are you going to send Morner off to the island the Star talks about?
Are you going to get him to tell the people who already had to move that they are wrong?

He's just another kook who is denying the real evidence that seas are rising.
 

fuji

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Jan 31, 2005
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If one thing more than any other is used to justify proposals that the world must spend tens of trillions of dollars on combating global warming, it is the belief that we face a disastrous rise in sea levels. The Antarctic and Greenland ice caps will melt, we are told, warming oceans will expand, and the result will be catastrophe.
Although the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) only predicts a sea level rise of 59cm (17 inches) by 2100, Al Gore in his Oscar-winning film An Inconvenient Truth went much further, talking of 20 feet, and showing computer graphics of cities such as Shanghai and San Francisco half under water. We all know the graphic showing central London in similar plight. As for tiny island nations such as the Maldives and Tuvalu, as Prince Charles likes to tell us and the Archbishop of Canterbury was again parroting last week, they are due to vanish.
But if there is one scientist who knows more about sea levels than anyone else in the world it is the Swedish geologist and physicist Nils-Axel Mörner, formerly chairman of the INQUA International Commission on Sea Level Change. And the uncompromising verdict of Dr Mörner, who for 35 years has been using every known scientific method to study sea levels all over the globe, is that all this talk about the sea rising is nothing but a colossal scare story.
Despite fluctuations down as well as up, "the sea is not rising," he says. "It hasn't risen in 50 years." If there is any rise this century it will "not be more than 10cm (four inches), with an uncertainty of plus or minus 10cm". And quite apart from examining the hard evidence, he says, the elementary laws of physics (latent heat needed to melt ice) tell us that the apocalypse conjured up by
Al Gore and Co could not possibly come about.
The reason why Dr Mörner, formerly a Stockholm professor, is so certain that these claims about sea level rise are 100 per cent wrong is that they are all based on computer model predictions, whereas his findings are based on "going into the field to observe what is actually happening in the real world".


http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/...sea-levels-is-the-greatest-lie-ever-told.html
Except they are not all based on computer models. The study I posted above in Nature measured the effect directly. So you are wrong.

Since you KNOW this--you replied to posts pointing it out--you are lying. Dishonest in the extreme.

Clearly you intend to go on spamming us with your bogus computer model claim with endless cut and pastes even though you know the claim is false.
 

canada-man

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Jun 16, 2007
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Are you going to send Morner off to the island the Star talks about?
Are you going to get him to tell the people who already had to move that they are wrong?

He's just another kook who is denying the real evidence that seas are rising.

if you bothered to read the article he spend years working in the field.

what is happening in the Solomon islands is beach erosion that has nothing to do with climate change




When running the International Commission on Sea Level Change, he launched a special project on the Maldives, whose leaders have for 20 years been calling for vast sums of international aid to stave off disaster. Six times he and his expert team visited the islands, to confirm that the sea has not risen for half a century. Before announcing his findings, he offered to show the inhabitants a film explaining why they had nothing to worry about. The government refused to let it be shown.

Similarly in Tuvalu, where local leaders have been calling for the inhabitants to be evacuated for 20 years, the sea has if anything dropped in recent decades. The only evidence the scaremongers can cite is based on the fact that extracting groundwater for pineapple growing has allowed seawater to seep in to replace it. Meanwhile, Venice has been sinking rather than the Adriatic rising, says Dr Mörner.

One of his most shocking discoveries was why the IPCC has been able to show sea levels rising by 2.3mm a year. Until 2003, even its own satellite-based evidence showed no upward trend. But suddenly the graph tilted upwards because the IPCC's favoured experts had drawn on the finding of a single tide-gauge in Hong Kong harbour showing a 2.3mm rise. The entire global sea-level projection was then adjusted upwards by a "corrective factor" of 2.3mm, because, as the IPCC scientists admitted, they "needed to show a trend".

When I spoke to Dr Mörner last week, he expressed his continuing dismay at how the IPCC has fed the scare on this crucial issue. When asked to act as an "expert reviewer" on the IPCC's last two reports, he was "astonished to find that not one of their 22 contributing authors on sea levels was a sea level specialist: not one". Yet the results of all this "deliberate ignorance" and reliance on rigged computer models have become the most powerful single driver of the entire warmist hysteria.
 

canada-man

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This message is hidden because fuji is on your ignore list.
View Post
Remove user from ignore list


i clicked "view post" and typical of fuji resort to more defamation and personal attacks.
 

fuji

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i clicked "view post" and typical of fuji resort to more defamation and personal attacks.
This is what you say every time I call you out for posting nonsense. You have ignored the facts (ie, the Nature article that directly observed AGW). You have repeatedly ignored the facts on multiple threads.

Pointing out that you do so may upset you but it's also the truth. There's an easy solution though: stop ignoring the facts and start debating the issues.
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
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if you bothered to read the article he spend years working in the field.

what is happening in the Solomon islands is beach erosion that has nothing to do with climate change
Morner is a kook whose work is shoddy.
There was a legit study that debunked all his nonsense, available here:
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818105000780

More about why he is wrong here:
http://www.skepticalscience.com/news.php?p=2&t=58&&n=1153

And here:
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/georgemonbiot/2011/dec/02/spectator-sea-level-claims


The evidence that seas are rising?
http://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/sea-level/
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/sea-level-rise-swallows-5-whole-pacific-islands/
http://www.livescience.com/51990-sea-level-rise-unknowns.html


Why do you fall for such nonsense?
 

canada-man

Well-known member
Jun 16, 2007
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did frankfooter read the article?


But if there is one scientist who knows more about sea levels than anyone else in the world it is the Swedish geologist and physicist Nils-Axel Mörner, formerly chairman of the INQUA International Commission on Sea Level Change. And the uncompromising verdict of Dr Mörner, who for 35 years has been using every known scientific method to study sea levels all over the globe, is that all this talk about the sea rising is nothing but a colossal scare story.
Despite fluctuations down as well as up, "the sea is not rising," he says. "It hasn't risen in 50 years." If there is any rise this century it will "not be more than 10cm (four inches), with an uncertainty of plus or minus 10cm". And quite apart from examining the hard evidence, he says, the elementary laws of physics (latent heat needed to melt ice) tell us that the apocalypse conjured up by
Al Gore and Co could not possibly come about.
The reason why Dr Mörner, formerly a Stockholm professor, is so certain that these claims about sea level rise are 100 per cent wrong is that they are all based on computer model predictions, whereas his findings are based on "going into the field to observe what is actually happening in the real world".
 
S

**Sophie**

The truth about skeptical science;

"Skeptical Science is a climate alarmist website created by a self-employed cartoonist, John Cook (who apparently pretends to be a Nazi). It is moderated by zealots who ruthlessly censor any and all form of dissent from their alarmist position. This way they can pretend to win arguments, when in reality they have all been refuted. The abuse and censorship does not pertain to simply any dissenting commentator there but to highly credentialed and respected climate scientists as well; Dr. Pielke Sr. has unsuccessfully attempted to engage in discussions there only to be childishly taunted and censored, while Dr. Michaels has been dishonestly quoted and smeared. The irony of the site's oxymoronic name "Skeptical Science" is that the site is not skeptical of even the most extreme alarmist positions."

John Cook (KOOK lol) is now desperately trying to cover up his background that he was employed as a cartoonist for over a decade with no prior employment history in academia or climate science.

Thanks to the Wayback Machine we can reveal what his website originally said,

"I'm not a climatologist or a scientist but a self employed cartoonist" - John Cook, Skeptical Science"

http://www.populartechnology.net/2012/03/truth-about-skeptical-science.html?m=1


 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
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did frankfooter read the article?
I read the article, the science is shoddy.
His findings are not supported by any other legit paper and there are major flaws in his method.

Did you read the criticisms?
Do you have any responses?

But if there is one scientist who knows more about sea levels than anyone else in the world it is the Swedish geologist and physicist Nils-Axel Mörner, formerly chairman of the INQUA International Commission on Sea Level Change.
Morner is an embarrassment to the INQUA, who are pointedly stating that Morner doesn't represent them or their views any more.
Current president of the INQUA commission on Coastal and Marine Processes, Professor Roland Gehrels of the University of Plymouth, says his view do not represent 99% of its members, and the organisation has previously stated that it is "distressed" that Mörner continues to falsely "represent himself in his former capacity."
http://www.skepticalscience.com/Nils-Axel-Morner-wrong-about-sea-level-rise.html

But even more entertaining is that Morner thinks he has paranormal powers, the power to divine water.
He’s called Nils-Axel Mörner, and among his claims to fame are that he possesses paranormal abilities to find water and metal using a dowsing rod, and that he has discovered “the Hong Kong of the [ancient] Greeks” in Sweden.

The celebrated debunker of mumbo-jumbo James Randi challenged Mörner to demonstrate his expertise with a dowsing rod, but he “consistently refused to be tested”. He did however, allow his paranormal abilities to be examined on Swedish television, using a test that Mörner himself devised: dowsing for a packet of sugar concealed under one of 10 cups. Needless to say, he failed, blaming, as such people so often do, “interference” and “influences”.

In 2007, Mörner and his collaborator, a homeopath and amateur archaeologist called Bob Lind, were reprimanded by the Scania County archaeologist in Sweden for damaging an Iron Age cemetery during their quest to demonstrate the “Bronze Age calendar alignments”, which would somehow help to show that this local graveyard was in fact an ancient Hellenic trading centre.

Reviewing such claims, the archaeologist and chair of the Swedish Skeptics Society, Martin Rundkvist, comments that if Nils-Axel Mörner is associated with a project, it’s “a solid guarantee for high-grade woo.”
http://www.monbiot.com/2011/12/04/the-spectators-spectacular-blunder/

Canada-man, you have an amazing paranormal ability to find kooks.
Congrats.
 

Moviefan-2

Court Jester
Oct 17, 2011
10,489
171
63
Are you calling the authors of that study liars?
Do you have any evidence to show that their claim they measured the greenhouse effect of CO2 directly is wrong?
Did you study science at Fuji's School of Make Believe? :biggrin1:

No, I'm not disputing the results they reported that show energy increases that are "solely" due to CO2. What I'm saying is those results don't confirm the AGW hypothesis.

The debate is about the supposed amplification of the temperature that the AGW proponents say comes from water vapour in the atmosphere. The paper that Fuji cited separated out water vapour and clouds and only reported on CO2 alone.

As far as the AGW hypothesis goes, it doesn't matter whether the results cited in the paper are right or wrong. The effect of CO2 alone is too small to worry about.
 

Frankfooter

dangling member
Apr 10, 2015
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The truth about skeptical science;
Wow, you really nailed him, eh?
A cartoonist.
Wow.


I do love how you accuse him of covering up his background as a cartoonist, and yet use his publicly posted bio on Skeptical Science to prove it.
Talk about lame.

Though this does raise a good point.
Scientists aren't supposed to advocate, they do research. Skeptical science isn't really advocation, its just a source, but its close enough that its probably better that a non-scientist run it.
Its a major issue, while Exxon can spend millions on lobbyists, climatologists spend nothing on lobbyists or advertising.

And what's next in this accusation?
Are you going to claim that AGW is a conspiracy run by cartoonists all over the globe, in order to rake in the big bucks of political cartoons?
Is that your complaint about Cook running Skeptical Science?
 

Frankfooter

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No, I'm not disputing the results they reported that show energy increases that are "solely" due to CO2. What I'm saying is those results don't confirm the AGW hypothesis.
.
If you accept the results you have to accept that they prove AGW, through proof that CO2 causes the heating we call the greenhouse effect.
That was the finding of the paper.
 
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