Canada in 2050
- Thread starter seat54
- Start date
If the Liberal Party of Canada has its way population will have reached
100 million by 2050. I guess we will fall short of that target but in all likelihood
ethnic mix of our population will be more diversified than it already is today.
Our debt will likely have been written off by default by then. A loaf
of bread will only cost you one or two thousand Canadian pesos.
Not an unworthy price to pay so our government cannot borrow
money to finance deficit spending anymore.
Climate change will deteriorate to a point where the climate is
nonetheless only a tad worse than it is today. We will continue
exporting oil, gas and coal without any restraint, for emission
reduction targets by then will become yesterday's folly. We will
have started burning woods to reduce escalating energy cost
after global oil production began its irreversible decline sliding
down the Hubbert curve circa 2030.
100 million by 2050. I guess we will fall short of that target but in all likelihood
ethnic mix of our population will be more diversified than it already is today.
Our debt will likely have been written off by default by then. A loaf
of bread will only cost you one or two thousand Canadian pesos.
Not an unworthy price to pay so our government cannot borrow
money to finance deficit spending anymore.
Climate change will deteriorate to a point where the climate is
nonetheless only a tad worse than it is today. We will continue
exporting oil, gas and coal without any restraint, for emission
reduction targets by then will become yesterday's folly. We will
have started burning woods to reduce escalating energy cost
after global oil production began its irreversible decline sliding
down the Hubbert curve circa 2030.
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I asked ChatGPT to project based on current population, fertility rates, death rates and current immigration levels with 2024 levels of immigration for permanent residents vs 2025 targets for permanent residents.
| Group | 2024 count | 2024 % | 2050 count (A: 450k/yr) | 2050 % (A) | 2050 count (B: 380k/yr) | 2050 % (B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| White (non-Indigenous) | 28,449,597 | 68.90% | 29,273,317 | 54.36% | 29,226,435 | 56.19% |
| Indigenous | 2,037,936 | 4.94% | 2,075,353 | 3.85% | 2,075,353 | 3.99% |
| South Asian | 2,893,870 | 7.01% | 8,762,403 | 16.27% | 7,857,785 | 15.11% |
| Chinese | 1,915,660 | 4.64% | 3,479,016 | 6.46% | 3,241,298 | 6.23% |
| Black | 1,752,625 | 4.24% | 3,487,134 | 6.48% | 3,222,327 | 6.20% |
| Filipino | 1,059,727 | 2.57% | 2,190,099 | 4.07% | 2,017,290 | 3.88% |
| Arab | 774,415 | 1.88% | 1,042,509 | 1.94% | 1,003,017 | 1.93% |
| Latin American | 652,139 | 1.58% | 877,902 | 1.63% | 844,646 | 1.62% |
| Southeast Asian | 448,346 | 1.09% | 603,557 | 1.12% | 580,694 | 1.12% |
| West Asian | 407,587 | 0.99% | 851,203 | 1.58% | 783,360 | 1.51% |
| Korean | 244,552 | 0.59% | 329,213 | 0.61% | 316,742 | 0.61% |
| Japanese | 122,276 | 0.30% | 164,606 | 0.31% | 158,371 | 0.30% |
| Other visible minority | 529,863 | 1.28% | 713,295 | 1.32% | 686,275 | 1.32% |
| TOTAL | 41,288,599 | 100.0% | 53,849,614 | 100.0% | 52,013,599 | 100.0% |
It will be a lot smaller than that with the Conservatives in control
of immigration which is not likely to transpire in the near future.
