Scheer’s favourability rating dropped during campaign, while Singh’s rose, Mainstreet polling shows
By Rachel Emmanuel. Published on Oct 18, 2019 3:55pm
Andrew Scheer’s favourability numbers have tumbled over the course of this election campaign, while NDP leader Jagmeet Singh’s have jumped, new polling numbers from Mainstream Research for iPolitics suggest.
Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau’s favourability rating has been essentially stagnant over that time, according to these survey figures.
In Mainstreet’s Sept. 14 polling numbers, the Conservative leader was found “very unfavourable” by 29.8 per cent of voters. But in results from the firm’s daily tracking poll on Oct. 17, that number hiked to 38.6 per cent, while the number of voters who found Scheer “very favourable” remained constant, dropping slightly from 18.3 per cent in mid-September to 17.7 per cent on Thursday.
The margin of error for Thursday’s results, which captured the opinions of 2,128 voters between Oct. 14 and Oct. 16, is plus or minus 2.12 percentage points.
Throughout the campaign, the Conservative leader has been scrutinized for his views on same-sex marriage, abortion rights and for holding dual U.S. and Canadian citizenship. As well, Scheer was forced to go on the defence when the Globe and Mail reported that he had never completed his insurance accreditation, despite the Conservative party’s website saying the leader had worked as an insurance broker.
Scheer later clarified, saying, “I did receive my accreditation. I left the insurance office before the licensing process was finalized.”
Those who found Scheer “somewhat favourable” moved from 23.9 per cent to 18.9 per cent from mid-September to Oct. 17, while those who found Scheer “somewhat unfavourable” moved 19.3 per cent to 20.3 per cent. The voting population who said they were “unsure” of the leader moved from 8.7 per cent to 4.5 per cent.
Trudeau’s leadership ratings have remained stable despite the blackface/brownface controversy.Trudeau was found “very unfavourable” by 35.5 per cent of the voting population on Sept. 14, which dropped only to 34.9 per cent on Thursday, over a month later. Those who found the Liberal leader “very favourable” remained at 19.5 per cent, while those who found him “somewhat favourable” jumped from 25 per cent to 26 per cent for the same time period. Those who found Trudeau “somewhat unfavourable” rose from 16 per cent to 17 per cent, while those who were “unsure” moved from four per cent to 2.7 per cent.
The campaign period has been advantageous for NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, who was found “very favourable” by only 7.6 per cent of the voting population on Sept. 14, though this number jumped to 22.3 per cent Thursday. Another 24.8 per cent found Singh “very unfavourable” in September, dropping to 16.8 per cent as the campaign nears its end.
The NDP has been rising in popularitysince the start of the election campaign, and Singh was praised for focusing on Canadians who have experienced racism when images of Trudeau dressed in black/brownface were published by Time Magazine, rather than merely passing judgment on the Liberal leader.
Green Party Leader Elizabeth May and PPC leader Maxime Bernier also dropped in popularity. May was found “very unfavourable” by 22.7 per cent of the voting population in mid-September, which rose to 26.5 per cent in Thursday’s figures. Those who find the Green leader “very favourable” remained relatively constant, beginning at 13.7 per cent and rising to 14.8 per cent.
Bernier was found “very unfavourable” by 42.5 per cent of respondents in September, but that rose to 51.9 per cent in Thursday’s numbers. Those who said the PPC leader is “very favourable” dropped from 6.6 per cent to 5.4 per cent.
Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-Francois Blanchet shot up in popularity over the campaign. He was seen as “very favourable” by 17.9 per cent of the population in mid-September but in Thursday’s figures, that number stood at 31.5 per cent.
Those who found the Bloc leader “very unfavourable” dropped from 22.1 per cent to 12.3 per cent.
Voters head to the polls Monday.
https://ipolitics.ca/2019/10/18/scheers-favourability-rating-dropped-during-campaign-while-singhs-rose-mainstreet-polling-shows/
By Rachel Emmanuel. Published on Oct 18, 2019 3:55pm
Andrew Scheer’s favourability numbers have tumbled over the course of this election campaign, while NDP leader Jagmeet Singh’s have jumped, new polling numbers from Mainstream Research for iPolitics suggest.
Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau’s favourability rating has been essentially stagnant over that time, according to these survey figures.
In Mainstreet’s Sept. 14 polling numbers, the Conservative leader was found “very unfavourable” by 29.8 per cent of voters. But in results from the firm’s daily tracking poll on Oct. 17, that number hiked to 38.6 per cent, while the number of voters who found Scheer “very favourable” remained constant, dropping slightly from 18.3 per cent in mid-September to 17.7 per cent on Thursday.
The margin of error for Thursday’s results, which captured the opinions of 2,128 voters between Oct. 14 and Oct. 16, is plus or minus 2.12 percentage points.
Throughout the campaign, the Conservative leader has been scrutinized for his views on same-sex marriage, abortion rights and for holding dual U.S. and Canadian citizenship. As well, Scheer was forced to go on the defence when the Globe and Mail reported that he had never completed his insurance accreditation, despite the Conservative party’s website saying the leader had worked as an insurance broker.
Scheer later clarified, saying, “I did receive my accreditation. I left the insurance office before the licensing process was finalized.”
Those who found Scheer “somewhat favourable” moved from 23.9 per cent to 18.9 per cent from mid-September to Oct. 17, while those who found Scheer “somewhat unfavourable” moved 19.3 per cent to 20.3 per cent. The voting population who said they were “unsure” of the leader moved from 8.7 per cent to 4.5 per cent.
Trudeau’s leadership ratings have remained stable despite the blackface/brownface controversy.Trudeau was found “very unfavourable” by 35.5 per cent of the voting population on Sept. 14, which dropped only to 34.9 per cent on Thursday, over a month later. Those who found the Liberal leader “very favourable” remained at 19.5 per cent, while those who found him “somewhat favourable” jumped from 25 per cent to 26 per cent for the same time period. Those who found Trudeau “somewhat unfavourable” rose from 16 per cent to 17 per cent, while those who were “unsure” moved from four per cent to 2.7 per cent.
The campaign period has been advantageous for NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, who was found “very favourable” by only 7.6 per cent of the voting population on Sept. 14, though this number jumped to 22.3 per cent Thursday. Another 24.8 per cent found Singh “very unfavourable” in September, dropping to 16.8 per cent as the campaign nears its end.
The NDP has been rising in popularitysince the start of the election campaign, and Singh was praised for focusing on Canadians who have experienced racism when images of Trudeau dressed in black/brownface were published by Time Magazine, rather than merely passing judgment on the Liberal leader.
Green Party Leader Elizabeth May and PPC leader Maxime Bernier also dropped in popularity. May was found “very unfavourable” by 22.7 per cent of the voting population in mid-September, which rose to 26.5 per cent in Thursday’s figures. Those who find the Green leader “very favourable” remained relatively constant, beginning at 13.7 per cent and rising to 14.8 per cent.
Bernier was found “very unfavourable” by 42.5 per cent of respondents in September, but that rose to 51.9 per cent in Thursday’s numbers. Those who said the PPC leader is “very favourable” dropped from 6.6 per cent to 5.4 per cent.
Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-Francois Blanchet shot up in popularity over the campaign. He was seen as “very favourable” by 17.9 per cent of the population in mid-September but in Thursday’s figures, that number stood at 31.5 per cent.
Those who found the Bloc leader “very unfavourable” dropped from 22.1 per cent to 12.3 per cent.
Voters head to the polls Monday.
https://ipolitics.ca/2019/10/18/scheers-favourability-rating-dropped-during-campaign-while-singhs-rose-mainstreet-polling-shows/
