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Federal Conservatives would win majority if election held today: Forum Poll
Published:
December 9, 2018
Updated:
December 9, 2018 9:43 AM EST
NEWS
Tories would win majority if election today: Poll
The federal Conservative party would win a majority is an election was held today, a new poll shows.
In a recent random sampling, 43% said they would vote conservative, while 34% would cast a Liberal ballot.
“The Conservatives have a strong and steady lead over the Liberals as we go into the New Year,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, president of Forum Research, which conducted the survey.
“With more than half of the NDP, BQ (Bloc Quebecois) and Green voters believing that Canada is better off now than it was four years ago, it will be imperative for (Prime Minister Justin) Trudeau’s Liberals to capture uncommitted voters from those parties in order to have a chance at winning the election over (Andrew) Scheer’s Conservatives.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speaks at the Fortune Global Forum in Toronto on Monday, October 15, 2018. Chris Young / THE CANADIAN PRESS
Favouring the Conservatives is the latest results finding that 54% of respondents disapprove of the job Trudeau is doing, which include a number of unpopular gaffes.
The PM was recently criticized for tweeting to a late night TV celebrity that Canada would donate $50 millions to an education charity the host was involved in. Critics said Trudeau was trying to impress a celebrity.
FUREY: Trudeau faces blow back from all corners for $50M giveaway over Twitter
TRUDEAU TWITTER FAIL: PM under fire for tweeting Trevor Noah
Earlier this year, the Trudeau government took a $1.6 million trip to India and included in the expenses was $17,000 to bring along a celebrity chief to prepare a meal for an official reception.
Among the many other missteps, has been his very unpopular claim the budget will balance itself.
NDP leader Jagmeet Singh has 41% disapproval rate with voters, according to the poll.
Scheer’s disapproval rate is the lowest at 35%.
When questioned who would make the best prime minister, the survey says it was a horse race with Scheer and Trudeau nearly tied for the best PM.
Federal Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer addresses the Ontario PC Convention in Toronto on Saturday, November 17, 2018. (THE CANADIAN PRESS/Chris Young)
Those in the survey were most likely to support the Conservatives came from the west and Liberal supporters from the east.
Roughly 60% of those Conservative supporters were from Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba. Half were males between the ages of 44 and 54 earning between $60 to $80. About 47% of those had an education level of secondary school or less.
In Atlantic Canada, 50% were Liberal supporters and over the age of 35. Forty percent earned between $100,000 to $250,000 and 40% of those had a post-graduate degree.
When respondents were asked in Canada was doing better than it was four years ago, 47% said it was.
Broken down further, 88% of Conservative voters said the state of the country is worse now than in 2014, while 86% of Liberals feel the country is doing better.
The Forum poll is based on 1,541 random telephone survey from across the country. It was conducted from Nov. 28 to 29 and is considered accurate plus or minus 3%, 19 times out of 20.
Federal Conservatives would win majority if election held today: Forum Poll
Published:
December 9, 2018
Updated:
December 9, 2018 9:43 AM EST
NEWS
Tories would win majority if election today: Poll
The federal Conservative party would win a majority is an election was held today, a new poll shows.
In a recent random sampling, 43% said they would vote conservative, while 34% would cast a Liberal ballot.
“The Conservatives have a strong and steady lead over the Liberals as we go into the New Year,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, president of Forum Research, which conducted the survey.
“With more than half of the NDP, BQ (Bloc Quebecois) and Green voters believing that Canada is better off now than it was four years ago, it will be imperative for (Prime Minister Justin) Trudeau’s Liberals to capture uncommitted voters from those parties in order to have a chance at winning the election over (Andrew) Scheer’s Conservatives.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speaks at the Fortune Global Forum in Toronto on Monday, October 15, 2018. Chris Young / THE CANADIAN PRESS
Favouring the Conservatives is the latest results finding that 54% of respondents disapprove of the job Trudeau is doing, which include a number of unpopular gaffes.
The PM was recently criticized for tweeting to a late night TV celebrity that Canada would donate $50 millions to an education charity the host was involved in. Critics said Trudeau was trying to impress a celebrity.
FUREY: Trudeau faces blow back from all corners for $50M giveaway over Twitter
TRUDEAU TWITTER FAIL: PM under fire for tweeting Trevor Noah
Earlier this year, the Trudeau government took a $1.6 million trip to India and included in the expenses was $17,000 to bring along a celebrity chief to prepare a meal for an official reception.
Among the many other missteps, has been his very unpopular claim the budget will balance itself.
NDP leader Jagmeet Singh has 41% disapproval rate with voters, according to the poll.
Scheer’s disapproval rate is the lowest at 35%.
When questioned who would make the best prime minister, the survey says it was a horse race with Scheer and Trudeau nearly tied for the best PM.
Federal Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer addresses the Ontario PC Convention in Toronto on Saturday, November 17, 2018. (THE CANADIAN PRESS/Chris Young)
Those in the survey were most likely to support the Conservatives came from the west and Liberal supporters from the east.
Roughly 60% of those Conservative supporters were from Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba. Half were males between the ages of 44 and 54 earning between $60 to $80. About 47% of those had an education level of secondary school or less.
In Atlantic Canada, 50% were Liberal supporters and over the age of 35. Forty percent earned between $100,000 to $250,000 and 40% of those had a post-graduate degree.
When respondents were asked in Canada was doing better than it was four years ago, 47% said it was.
Broken down further, 88% of Conservative voters said the state of the country is worse now than in 2014, while 86% of Liberals feel the country is doing better.
The Forum poll is based on 1,541 random telephone survey from across the country. It was conducted from Nov. 28 to 29 and is considered accurate plus or minus 3%, 19 times out of 20.
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