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White House budget projects $1 trillion deficit in 2019

Charlemagne

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Jul 19, 2017
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July 17, 2018 - 01:16 PM EDT

White House budget projects $1 trillion deficit in 2019

The White House’s midyear budget projections see federal deficits surpassing $1 trillion in 2019.

In an annual budget review, the White House’s Office of Management and Budget (OMB) estimated that new legislation enacted since the release of its February budget— alongside new projections on other spending and receipts— would add $101 billion more to the 2019 deficit, pushing it above $1 trillion.

That figure would amount to 5.1 percent of the United States's gross domestic product, the nation’s total economic output.

The midyear budget review was released quietly on Friday.

Estimates from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office had forecast the deficit to near $1 trillion in 2019, but not pass it until 2020.

Budget watchdogs said that deficits had doubled in recent years as a result of bipartisan spending agreements and the GOP tax-cut law passed in December.

“This is a striking acknowledgement following almost two years of claims that economic growth unleashed by these policies will wipe deficits away,” said Maya MacGuineas, president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

The budget outlook maintained the rosy economic projections the Trump White House has used in previous forecasts, but seemed to indicate a slight retreat from an earlier promise.

Trump officials have regularly argued that the administration’s policies would lead to sustained economic growth of 3 percent over 10 years, well above mainstream projections. In its updated budget outlook, OMB’s average growth rate dropped under 3 percent over the decade, dipping below the target as of 2025.

The White House also projected that corporate profits would grow 13 percent over a decade, while employee compensation would surge 68 percent. The Bureau of Labor Statistics estimated that hourly wages have grown just 2.7 percent in the past year, though once inflation was taken into account the number fell to zero.

http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/397445-white-house-budget-projects-1-trillion-deficit-in-2019
 

toguy5252

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Wait at any point now one of the Trumpanistas is going to chime in and say that growth is going to be @ 4% this quarter and is 1 or 2 or 3 quarters os going to eliminate the deficit. Start the clock.
 

Charlemagne

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Jul 19, 2017
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Wait at any point now one of the Trumpanistas is going to chime in and say that growth is going to be @ 4% this quarter and is 1 or 2 or 3 quarters os going to eliminate the deficit. Start the clock.
Looks like they are avoiding this thread at all costs.
 

Promo

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Continued increases in the Fed rates certainly isn't going to help. Oil is staying high despite (claimed) increased production from OPEC (Saudi is now talking reducing production). Inflation is up 40% in 2018 (~2.9%)
 

Polaris

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Looks like they are avoiding this thread at all costs.
One, Trump should not go this route with running such massive budget deficits. Who does he think he is, Obama?!

Two, this is the part where Trump is a master tactician and knows how to survive.

The US Dollar is the world's key currency, the reserve currency. That means Americans do not have to work to pay off their debts. Trump could just run the printing presses.

Europe is very weak, and they could actually crack up. China, they could devalue the RMB.

If either one starts to happen, Trump could run the printing presses and there will be no repercussions to the US Dollar in all likelihood.

Therefore, he should not be doing that playing around with such massive deficits like Obama did, but there is an obvious way out, that could be taken which changes nothing in terms of the standing of the USD, because of how everything is evolving at the moment.

Give it time, a year or more to see where this goes.
 

toguy5252

Well-known member
Jun 22, 2009
15,971
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One, Trump should not go this route with running such massive budget deficits. Who does he think he is, Obama?!

Two, this is the part where Trump is a master tactician and knows how to survive.

The US Dollar is the world's key currency, the reserve currency. That means Americans do not have to work to pay off their debts. Trump could just run the printing presses.

Europe is very weak, and they could actually crack up. China, they could devalue the RMB.

If either one starts to happen, Trump could run the printing presses and there will be no repercussions to the US Dollar in all likelihood.

Therefore, he should not be doing that playing around with such massive deficits like Obama did, but there is an obvious way out, that could be taken which changes nothing in terms of the standing of the USD, because of how everything is evolving at the moment.

Give it time, a year or more to see where this goes.
The PGOTUS has no control over the money supply.
 
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